Sunday, January 28, 2024

Today, I had retired

 

As dusk unfurls its shadowy blanket,
and sporadic flutters of sparrow’s wings echo
through the tranquil sanctuary of my bedroom’s
open window,

it's time to peel off the day's attire,
the cocoon in which I journeyed
from the soft familiarity of home
to a different identity of work then back,
and consign them to the hamper's depths.

To prepare for the same tomorrow,
a ritual that has been etched in the sands of time
it's also time to confront the closet,
to select the hues that will adorn my skin
tomorrow.

But tonight, the closet stood barren,
a hollow echo of what once was.
there was nothing in there
to change into.

I stood puzzled, bare and vulnerable,
like a deer caught in the glaring headlight,
and it slowly dawned on me,
like the first rays of a daybreak,
that today, I had let go
a significant part of me.

Today, I had retired.

Saturday, January 27, 2024

What is more likely to come - A dystopia or a utopia?

 

But Humanity, in its desire for comfort, had over-reached itself. It had exploited the riches of nature too far. Quietly and complacently, it was sinking into decadence, and progress had come to mean the progress of the Machine — E. M. Foster

Arun Kumar


Entropy is often cited as a fundamental principle of nature. As time progresses, physical systems tend to move towards a state of greater disorder. This principle subtly ensures that after birth, as I get nourishment from my mother’s milk, I grow and defy the principle of entropy. However, my cells will eventually disintegrate, and at some point, I shall cease to exist.

Entropy is the guarantor that I will be mortal.

The core idea behind the concept of increasing entropy is that as time progresses, there are far more ways for physical systems to become disordered than ordered.

Take a set of coins. If you shuffle them on a tabletop, they could all land heads up. While this is a completely plausible state and could occur, the likelihood of it happening is much smaller than having a mix of fifty heads and fifty tails.

An unsettling possibility is that in the room where you are sitting, all the air molecules might randomly end up in one corner, leaving you gasping for air sitting on the other side. It is not a conscious decision on their part, but rather a result of random causality.

Although the chances of the above scenario happening are, once again, minuscule, they are not zero. The scenario could happen. It is improbable but it is not impossible.

Perhaps it is one of those unsolved mysteries of a healthy person sitting in a closed room being found dead that no one has been able to crack the mystery. Given eight billion people living over one thousand generations, who knows what rare events can occur? If something can, given enough time, it shall.

The tendency of physical systems to transition from an ordered to a disordered state is the reason a movie (a sequence of events) viewed in reverse appears strange. In our past experiences, we have not seen a bald head slowly sprouting hair and ending up with a head full of lush hair.

If entropy is the ultimate guardrail that gently propels physical systems in the direction of chaos, it is intriguing to consider the potential futures for human progress. The specific question is whether, starting from our current state, in the long run would we end up in a worse state (i.e., a dystopia) or a better state (i.e., a utopia), and if one is more likely than the other?

Consider a utopia, or a future that is better than our present. Although history tells us that we are better off in many ways than we were before, this may not be the norm. A malnourished and mistreated baby will still grow, but beyond a certain point, it will lag behind its peers who were treated better.

So, even though we have historically moved towards a better state, this trend may not continue. For humanity to keep improving its lot, much more from us would be required. The characteristics we would need for the masses to possess are wisdom, cooperation, equity, sustainable practices, tolerance, a growth-oriented mindset etc.

Do we have the psychological wherewithal for these qualities to flourish?

If there are any indications, such as a decline in average IQ, heads bent over smartphones engaged in endless scrolling, the answer may be a no.

Unfortunately, evolution also prefers the path of least resistance and does not optimize our behavior for the future (which requires wisdom). Coupled with a notion that technological advances can override the basic tenets of natural selection (e.g., higher IQ and better fitness may no longer be an advantage to survive and reproduce), two could be a fatal combination and could set the stage for our downfall.

Now, let us consider chances for dystopia, i.e., a state of humanity that would be worse off than it is now.

The increasing complexity of our society, combined with the challenges posed by technological advancements and the competition for limited resources, could potentially steer us in this direction. There are far more ways for humanity to devolve into a state that is worse than to evolve into a state that is better.

Initially, the condition of society might appear to be improving, but beyond a certain point, it may find ways to limit its progression.

So, while it is possible for society to evolve towards either a utopia or a dystopia, the principle of entropy working with human nature would suggest that without conscious effort and cooperation, moving towards dystopia is a more likely future.

Ciao.

Saturday, January 20, 2024

Evolution of average IQ and what is more likely - A dystopia or a utopia?

 Why did we become blind, I don’t know, perhaps one day we’ll find out, Do you want me to tell you what I think, Yes, do, I don’t think we did go blind, I think we are blind, Blind but seeing, Blind people who can see, but do not see — Jose Saramago

Arun Kumar

Where would be end up?

It is interesting to speculate how the average IQ of humanity would evolve and what its consequences on the possibility of the emergence of a dystopian or a utopian world might be?

Granted, such speculation could all be science fiction but then I am not the first one to delve into fantastical worlds of future possibilities.

A hypothesis about the evolution of the average IQ of a society is that it could be self-limiting. The basic premise of the hypothesis is not hard to formulate.

Increasing IQ would lead to technological advances that in turn could be negative feedback interfering with the upward trend in the average IQ.

Natural selection prefers traits that increase the chance of survival and reproduction, higher IQ being one. Technological advances, however, can provide artificial crutches that can blunt the advantages of having a higher IQ and disrupt the natural process of natural selection.

At least this part is not entirely speculation. There is already evidence IQ is declining.

Now consider how evolution of IQ can affect the possibility of a society evolving into a dystopia or a utopia?

There is a natural tendency to follow the path of least resistance. Why waste energy doing things the hard way? Technological offerings combined with biology’s tendency to prefer the path of least resistance could lead to a dystopian future where the majority is made up of low (or just adequate) IQ people. Everywhere we have seen heads bend over staring at the screen of smartphone scrolling through endless feeds of distractions. That sure looks like a recipe for evolving towards a lower IQ state.

This path could lead to a dystopian world similar to the one depicted in the movie Matrix, where humans are enslaved by machines and happily live in a simulated reality.

What would be a possible trajectory for a Utopian world?

One scenario is that people are mindful of their acts, are growth oriented, and value cooperation and harmony. There is equity, justice, and respect for diversity. People use technology to enhance their well-being and protect the environment, rather than exploit it. They are inspired by ecotopian (eco + utopia) visions that imagine a sustainable and harmonious relationship with nature.

Sounds good but it sure does not sound like us.

Which one is more plausible — dystopia or a utopia? Looking around and the way technology may be blunting our IQ, if I were to guess, the answer would be dystopia.

But then, one person’s dystopia could be another person’s utopia, so the answer may depend on who has the podium.

Ciao.

See also:
Western IQs drop by 14 points in last century
An intelligence crisis could undermine our problem-solving capacities and dim the prospects of the global economy

Tuesday, January 16, 2024

Would Nietzsche agree?

 

Is there joy in an ordinary life, unsung and plain?
An existence that does not dwell in questions arcane,
Life’s purpose, life’s meaning, no need to explore,
No thoughts of mortality or what lies beyond death’s door.

No questions about free will, or its implications vast,
Was today merely a shadow of the past?
A life that simply awakens, lives, under the sun's light,
And later, in the evening, drifts into an innocent night.

Sounds wonderful, serene, free of unfathomable mysteries,
But one wonders, would Nietzsche agree?