Arun Kumar
St. Croix, US Virgin Island
Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from
magic – Arthur C. Clarke
St Croix. We are
staying on the west side of the island and away from the reaches of civilization.
It
is a wonderful place. Sitting on the deck and while drinking
my first cup of Earl Grey and taking in its
aroma, while at a distance, I can view the turquoise ocean and undulating waves
playing on its surface.
It feels like heaven.
It is a place where I have either forgotten my limitations or I have suddenly
learned to be content with them. In either case, for a few moments, I sit feeling
lightened and enlightened.
The night comes and we
are going through the phase of the new moon. The city lights do not encroach on
the dark brilliance of the night sky, where a million twinkling stars are
shining. Their number seems much more than back
home. A faint river of the Milky Way stretches across the sky.
The Big Dipper. The North
Star. They are all there, partying quietly.
Among this brilliance
and the silence, the stillness is occasionally broken by a sound of a gecko dreaming about its
next meal.
Sitting here, looking
at all those twinkling stars, I start to wonder why we have not seen alien
beings yet. After all, there are all these stars, billions of them just in our
own galaxy. And then, there are billions of galaxies. The sky is filled with
them in whichever direction we care to look.
However minute the chances for life to emerge may be, in the end, those staggering number of stars,
the energy givers with thermonuclear fusion keeping their bellies warm, can
easily overcome miniscule probabilities for the chance of developing self-replicating molecules to
materialize.
After all, fed by the
energy from the Sun, life emerged on the Earth. If it can happen here, under
the right circumstances, it can happen elsewhere too. We are not a product of exceptionalism.
So why have we not
been visited by aliens yet? Aliens who might have had a much longer time to
evolve and had the time to figure out how to travel through vast distances within a manageable time.
Within the last 100 years, human discovery and technological capability has
progressed at a stunning pace. With that in mind, imagine what a civilization
with a head start of 100,000 years under its belt would be capable of.
In 100 years we have developed advanced technologies, have mapped the human genome, understood the
basics of the physical laws and beginnings of the universe, built computers that
can look into the future and tell us the weather five days from now (not to
mention, Facebook, Instagram, Alexa, and TikTok!), so imagine what wonders 100,000 more years of technological development can bring.
Heck, I do not even
remember what I used to do merely 35 years back when laptops and the internet
were not around.
Maybe a simple reason
for not meeting the aliens is that distances between islands of life scattered
around stars and galaxies are just too vast for technologies or physical laws
to overcome. The distances ensure that once an island we will always be an
island.
Distances aside, there
could be another possibility. One possibility, if considered, may be a more
elegant and natural explanation to the riddle: a
sufficiently advanced civilization, unless it overcomes the innate traits
shaped by the nuances of evolution, is destined to self-destruct.
The trigger for
self-destruction might be built in the basic constructs of evolution.
Life itself is a
chemical process and the universe has plenty of them to offer for randomness to
play the game of mix and match. And play it does. Chance happenings of
favorable chemical bonds lead to more and more complex molecules.
One day, some of those
molecules discover the magic of self-replication. Given a source of energy, and
if there is no competition, the same molecules will replicate without bound to
the extent that is limited by the energy source. It will be a monochromatic
world.
Nature, however, is
more colorful. The randomness that made those molecules possible also ensures
that they will have adequate competition and the successful will have to
constantly watch their backs.
Even if there is no
competing family of molecules wanting to grab the same resources, the invisible
power of randomness will create variations within, leading to various
sub-classes. Some better and some worse.
The better ones will
be more adept at replicating and consuming energy and begin to dominate. The
less unfortunate will either perish or find a niche and withdraw into their own
little part of the universe.
Dictated by
randomness, the basic rules governing evolution emerge.
Given a mix of a
source of energy ready to be consumed and a class of self-replicating
molecules, randomness leading to chance mutations creates less or more
efficient molecules, setting the stage for natural selection.
The consequence is the
start of epic battles for consuming and garnering resources that have continued
to date. Battles that were either played out among different species or among
different sub-classes of the same species.
If you don’t believe it,
just look around, or listen to 10-minutes of the evening news, or skim the
headlines of the Washington Post. The underside of all stories considered newsworthy
is a story of struggle between classes.
Starting from humble beginnings
and shaped by evolution and underlying laws of natural selection, we have
reached the present to be what we are now. Our genes, our biological and
psychological thought processes are all shaped by the pressures, and opportunities,
in the surrounding environment in which our ancestors lived. In a way, we are an integral of history, and if we survive. that integral is positive.
The innate traits
developed along the way, which helped us survive and get progressively better,
are still with us. The rush of adrenaline when we hear a creaking noise in the
middle of night, the fear of snakes, the sweet tooth, our attraction to vistas
so we can spot a cheetah from miles away.
The list of innate biological
and psychological traits that we carry and are shaped by the environment is
endless. A result of the sweeping arms of natural selection that has touched everything.
Somewhere along the
way, however, we broke away from the pack. Within the last ten thousand years
or so, (a tiny blip compared to cosmic and geological time scales on which
the outcomes of natural selection are shaped) through technological advances that
were initially slow, but always advancing at an exponential pace, we have attained
an apparent capability to defy evolution.
With climate control
offered by heating or cooling, we no longer have to worry about adapting to warm
or cold weather. Before flying to Rovaniemi, Finland, a place inside the Arctic
Circle, I did not give a second thought to how I am going to survive there in
the middle of February. I no longer have to act like the squirrels running in
my backyard, who during the Fall go through a frenzied activity of burying
something.
Outward appearances of
breaking free from the chains of natural selection, however, could be
deceiving. The same ten thousand years that have endowed us with tremendous
capabilities, both constructive and destructive, yet are not long enough for our
innate traits of tribalism to adjust to the different environment, have given us a different paradigm in which we now exist.
We may no longer have
to worry about tigers, snakes, famines, extreme cold, but we still carry the basic
traits and reactions that were shaped by those environmental pressures. We may
no longer have to compete for resources across species, but we now carry the
battles within the subclasses of our own species.
Now the battles play
out between rich and poor, between nations, between people of different colors,
between individuals with different mindsets or religions or races or histories
or sexual orientation.
The basic tenets of
natural selection continue to thrive but now the ‘competition’ live next
door.
Although the pace of
technological advances has far outpaced that at which most biological and
psychological traits evolve, we continue to be governed by the traits with
which we evolved.
Genetics still haunts
us. We may no longer be shackled by the subtle laws of natural selection, and
may feel proud to have overcome nature, however, nature still rules. All we
need to do is to look into our pantries or the maze of shelves of a grocery
store and the food choices we make.
It is not an accident
that we are hooked on sugar.
Holding on to the
traits that gave us an edge during evolution is a dangerous mix when combined
with technological capabilities we now have. The same psychological traits could
become an impediment to our survival.
Armed with dangerous weapons
while holding on to tribalism in an inevitable fight for decreasing natural
resources is a dangerous mix.
Looking at the
beautiful night sky, I start to wonder: Can a sufficiently advanced
civilization evolve the wisdom to free itself from the traits that proved
advantageous during evolution and adapt to a world that is no longer governed
by the pressures of evolution?
How long will it take for
our genes to evolve to the new paradigm of no longer being shaped by the guardrails
imposed by needing to not load up on sugar?
But then again, are we
actually in a new evolutionary paradigm in which the traditional rules
of evolution do not apply? The feeling that we are free from the tenets of
evolution is likely just a mirage. The guardrails of evolution are still
there; it is just that the players in the fight for resources are different.
Evolution, ultimately,
is a fight for limited resources. If the resources were unlimited, then maybe
all can live happily ever after in harmony. The world, instead of feeling like it
is always on the verge of dystopia, will be a utopian dream.
Previously the fight may
have been between different species and that paradigm may no longer exist. It
does not mean that the fight for resources is over. The fight for resources, now has now shifted to within Homo Sapiens. (With little regard for the essential role of
biodiversity in the natural world, I might add.
But that’s a topic for a future post.)
The fight for
resources is now between the nations, it is between rich and poor, it is
between freedom and dictatorship, it is between democrats and republicans, it
is between haves and have nots.
And within the fight
for freedom, the conflict is between liberals and moderates. The fight for
resources has a fractal quality to it; every segment
looks like its larger version.
The fight is now
between us when we rush through the door of the Walmart on Black Friday, and
like hyenas, grab on the ends of a box of a 64” flat screen TV. We think that our
survival depends on being victorious and bringing that TV home, mistakenly believing
that it will nourish our souls.
In a world that is
teeming with disparity, the fight for natural resources will always be
inevitable. And with randomness governing personal destinies, uniformity as a
natural state is a statistical impossibility. No matter how much time we give,
uniformity is not going to happen.
These days the game of
evolution plays out on the grander scale and is for different resources – oil,
precious metals, the Arctic shipping routes in the world of decreasing sea ice,
minerals at the bottom of the sea, who is going to claim the rights for the
desolate piece of wasteland on the dark side of the moon.
Hanging on to the
traits that made us successful, and the process of evolution that shaped the
advent of intelligent beings, will ultimately be the demise of a sufficiently
advanced civilization that has acquired means to build a Death Star to
annihilate millions with the push of a button.
In the end, the slate
will be wiped clean, and life will begin again with molecules elbowing each
other for -- you guessed it -- resources.
That may be the reason why we have not been visited by aliens yet. A civilization that may be
capable of warp travel, or can control wormholes, will not be able to grow out
of its increasing need for resources. In the end, some faction will press the
button, and the mushroom cloud will lead to destruction.
We can hang on the
utopian dream that a council of wise people will rein in our base tendencies,
and we can avoid extinction. We may think that Spock will be
our savior, but we may not be able to shake the Klingon
Bird-of-Prey.
Is dystopia a natural
state, and utopia, well, a dream?
Or one day, we all
will be inserted with a chip that will wipe out any thoughts of being
different, and we will live in the world of the
Matrix. But then, the fight may shift to between the Fugaku and Selene to find more human cells to power their
hunger.
Whether we will become
wise I do not know; we do not know. We can ask the aliens who never visited us.
Or that we cannot ask them may be telling in that a sufficiently advanced
civilization at some point wipes the slate clean and resets the process of
evolution back to its humble beginnings.
I look again at the
night sky and wonder if we will manage to really defy the laws that are shaped
by our desire to corner a limited availability of resources. My time is limited,
and I may never know the answer.
Or maybe, given the 13.8 billion of history and looking back, we
already have the answer to why aliens have not visited us.
Time is a great healer.
It could also be a great destroyer. Time graciously lends us all the “time” we
need to build the Death Star that one day will ensure our destruction.
It is a plausible
scenario. But cheer up, it is extremely unlikely to happen today.